Thursday 25 February 2016

Trump has a 97 percent chance of beating Hillary in the general election says college professor

Republican Presidential Candidate Donald Trump
If a professor at Stony Brook University is correct, Donald J Trump will be the next President of the United States. 

Professor Helmut Norpoth’s statistical modeling gives Trump with a 97 percent chance of beating Hillary Clinton in the general election. He'd have an even better shot against Bernie Sanders - 99 percent.
If Prof. Norpoth's model is correct, Hillary Clinton will get creamed by Donald Trump in the general election 
Hilary Clinton
'The bottom line is that the primary model, using also the cyclical movement, makes it almost certain that Donald Trump will be the next president,' Norpoth told Stony Brook's school newspaper, The Statesman, 'if he’s a nominee of the [Republican] party.'The numbers don't lie: 

Norpoth's model has accurately predicted the winner of every national election since 1912, The Statesman reports, except the election of 1960. Norpoth's model is correct 96.1 percent of the time, suggesting victory is on the horizon for Trump.

Source: Dailymail

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